Some early conclusions about the evolution of information technology
1) There is no evidence of slowdown in the pace of IT evolution, by any measure or characteristic. In fact we appear to be on a superexponential technology learning curve that is likely to continue for at least the next several decades.
2) Photonic technology is evolving at twice the rate of information technology, with miniaturization moving even faster, implying that the rate of growth of network appliances will be incredible.
3) There are likely to be major technology surprises, comparable to the PC in 1980 and the Internet browser in 1994.